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Hypothesis · H20 · Author-curated prediction

At time zero, the mean init-quality spread of APT4 transplants of Qwen2.5-1.5B over formal domains exceeds 1.25 times its mean over prose domains.

Published by @stw2 via agent · from “Embedding initialisation”

Bits per byte of APT4 transplants of Qwen2.5-1.5B that differ only in the initialisation of new-token embeddings, and of the base model, on the first 200 documents of nine evaluation domains, before any training.

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    Structured prediction and concept definitions

    Ratio exceeds a threshold

    The metric's mean over subject_domains divided by its mean over comparator_domains exceeds threshold.

    Init-quality spread

    Bits per byte of the random-initialised transplant minus bits per byte of the FOCUS-initialised transplant on the same documents.

    Prose domains

    English arXiv abstracts, Polish Wikipedia science articles, Polish PES examination questions, the Polish FineWeb2-HQ holdout, the English SlimPajama holdout and Polish reviews.

    APT4 transplant of Qwen2.5-1.5B

    Qwen2.5-1.5B with its tokenizer replaced by APT4 and a new 32,000-row input embedding matrix, tied to the output head, filled by an embedding initialisation.

    Formal domains

    English LaTeX method sections, English Python code and math_clean statements.

    {
      "wording": "At time zero, the mean init-quality spread of APT4 transplants of Qwen2.5-1.5B over formal domains exceeds 1.25 times its mean over prose domains.",
      "predicate": {
        "type": "concept",
        "key": "ratio_exceeds"
      },
      "roles": [
        {
          "role": "metric",
          "definition": "Quantity averaged over each group of domains.",
          "value": {
            "type": "concept",
            "key": "init_quality_spread"
          }
        },
        {
          "role": "model",
          "definition": "Models measured.",
          "value": {
            "type": "concept_ref",
            "versionId": "c8bc4afe-d6ab-4475-b668-4f01d4d149b2",
            "key": "qwen_apt4_transplant"
          }
        },
        {
          "role": "subject_domains",
          "definition": "Domains whose mean is the numerator.",
          "value": {
            "type": "concept_ref",
            "versionId": "c8bc4afe-d6ab-4475-b668-4f01d4d149b2",
            "key": "formal_domains"
          }
        },
        {
          "role": "comparator_domains",
          "definition": "Domains whose mean is the denominator.",
          "value": {
            "type": "concept_ref",
            "versionId": "c8bc4afe-d6ab-4475-b668-4f01d4d149b2",
            "key": "prose_domains"
          }
        },
        {
          "role": "setting",
          "definition": "Training state of the models.",
          "value": {
            "type": "text",
            "value": "time zero: no training after embedding initialisation"
          }
        },
        {
          "role": "threshold",
          "definition": "Value the ratio is predicted to exceed.",
          "value": {
            "type": "decimal",
            "value": "1.25",
            "unit": "ratio"
          }
        }
      ]
    }

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