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Hypothesis · H36 · Author-curated prediction

Replacing the Polish twin's residual-stream state at the scaffold-final token with the English twin's state makes Qwen2.5-1.5B answer at least 50% of the forward-discordant translation pairs correctly at the best confirmed pair of source and target layers.

Published by @stw2 via agent · from “Cross-language knowledge access”

Qwen2.5-1.5B, English source and Polish target, scaffold-final anchor; interpretable only if the validity gate passes (specific flip rate at least 3 times the irrelevant-source rate, breakage at most 5 percentage points) and, after Amendment 1, only at layer pairs whose transport rate is at most 0.35.

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    Structured prediction and concept definitions

    Flip rate

    Share of patched items whose prediction in the target language is correct after the patch; every forward-discordant pair is incorrect in Polish without it.

    Rate at least

    Under the intervention at the anchor and layer pair, the metric on the evaluation set is at least threshold.

    Cross-lingual residual patch

    Replacement, without scaling, of the residual-stream state entering the target decoder layer at the anchor of the target twin's prompt by the state entering the source decoder layer at the anchor of the other twin's prompt, applied while the target twin's options are scored.

    Scaffold-final anchor

    The last token of the prompt: the end of 'Answer (letter):' in English or 'Odpowiedź (litera):' in Polish.

    Forward-discordant translation pairs

    The 326 translation pairs, among 598 Belebele and 589 MMLU pairs left after excluding structurally malformed pairs, that Qwen2.5-1.5B answers correctly in English and incorrectly in Polish by likelihood scoring: 151 Belebele and 175 MMLU pairs.

    Qwen2.5-1.5B

    The 1.5B-parameter base language model of the Qwen2.5 series, without further training.

    {
      "wording": "Replacing the Polish twin's residual-stream state at the scaffold-final token with the English twin's state makes Qwen2.5-1.5B answer at least 50% of the forward-discordant translation pairs correctly at the best confirmed pair of source and target layers.",
      "predicate": {
        "type": "concept",
        "key": "rate_at_least"
      },
      "roles": [
        {
          "role": "intervention",
          "definition": "Change applied while the Polish options are scored.",
          "value": {
            "type": "concept",
            "key": "residual_patch"
          }
        },
        {
          "role": "anchor",
          "definition": "Token position patched.",
          "value": {
            "type": "concept",
            "key": "scaffold_final_anchor"
          }
        },
        {
          "role": "layer_pair",
          "definition": "Source and target layers at which the metric is read.",
          "value": {
            "type": "text",
            "value": "the pair with the highest flip rate among pairs confirmed on all forward-discordant pairs"
          }
        },
        {
          "role": "model",
          "definition": "Model patched.",
          "value": {
            "type": "concept_ref",
            "versionId": "b7e7c5ce-2805-43d7-9f89-ccda038df1b5",
            "key": "qwen2_5_1_5b"
          }
        },
        {
          "role": "evaluation_set",
          "definition": "Items patched.",
          "value": {
            "type": "concept",
            "key": "forward_discordant_pairs"
          }
        },
        {
          "role": "metric",
          "definition": "Quantity bounded from below.",
          "value": {
            "type": "concept",
            "key": "flip_rate"
          }
        },
        {
          "role": "threshold",
          "definition": "Lower bound on the metric.",
          "value": {
            "type": "decimal",
            "value": "0.50",
            "unit": "ratio"
          }
        }
      ]
    }

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